Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 93.732522 103.699089 113.858315 124.963650 136.736698 148.821752 162.140599
2026-01-11 78.631216 93.513482 109.350016 127.349297 147.134196 168.120289 191.964455
2026-01-18 66.738398 85.085913 105.413661 129.339807 156.473281 186.049462 220.487943
2026-01-25 53.112964 73.016309 96.028023 124.088874 156.894165 193.584390 237.278417
2026-02-01 43.360861 64.232985 89.378061 121.060289 159.118348 202.642109 255.468183
2026-02-08 36.372082 57.939493 84.954780 120.022591 163.167604 213.461713 275.487600
2026-02-15 31.570833 53.836240 82.738042 121.253269 169.621643 226.915750 298.509168
2026-02-22 28.711968 51.968061 83.090768 125.478389 179.600395 244.531199 326.505926
2026-03-01 25.451647 49.124722 81.841494 127.404672 186.556633 258.417901 350.054682
2026-03-08 21.782765 45.223358 78.794163 126.678484 189.937462 267.789189 368.081724
2026-03-15 19.418545 43.013965 77.867539 128.592090 196.572563 281.117445 390.925452
2026-03-22 17.928654 42.011364 78.531531 132.574423 205.853115 297.758475 417.904402
2026-03-29 16.026939 40.150235 77.866297 134.742665 212.873824 311.778675 441.995041
2026-04-05 14.599025 38.931461 78.051542 138.045839 221.405218 327.779580 468.685286
2026-04-12 13.146163 37.477828 77.754137 140.589122 228.899438 342.493213 493.865929
2026-04-19 10.288570 32.911779 72.229473 135.290775 225.537266 343.073964 501.157145
2026-04-26 8.263196 29.591934 68.399616 132.221413 225.027103 347.209912 512.853780
2026-05-03 6.851346 27.286616 66.045317 131.195994 227.236838 354.835975 528.975135
2026-05-10 5.958277 25.985680 65.295321 132.538745 232.734695 366.800272 550.703752
2026-05-17 5.571623 25.852281 66.575223 137.031890 242.740341 384.819651 580.347549
2026-05-24 4.921808 24.914547 66.329415 139.081899 249.233587 398.163116 603.987416
2026-05-31 4.041553 23.130871 64.383313 138.320874 251.599992 405.928441 620.371784
2026-06-07 3.547301 22.324015 64.198303 140.348484 258.005401 419.161520 643.943729